DISENGAGEMENT FROM GAZA AND SAMARIA -
LIABILITY OR ASSET?
by Yoram Ettinger
THE MISSILE THREAT - ESCALATING OR DECLINING?
*Fact: The deeper the disengagement the larger the production, upgrading and smuggling of weaponry, ammunition, explosives and missiles of enhanced range and precision. A year ago, Palestinian missiles hit Jewish communities in Gaza, this year they hit Sderot and the northern Negev and very soon they will be able to hit the power station of Ashqelon and the port of Ashdod.
Fact: The disengagement from Gaza and Northern Samaria will transform Afula, Hadera, Netanya, Jezrael Valley and Heffer Valley into the "daily-bombarded-Sderot of the north".
Fact: The cut & run and the uprooting of Jewish communities will expand the missile arena into Judea & Samaria and will plague Jerusalem, Ben Gurion Airport, Kfar Saba and Ra'anana.
Fact: Two years ago, Israel apprehended the missiles, weaponry and ammunition loaded "Karinne-A" boat. The disengagement would facilitate many "Karinne-As", would severely erode Israel's intelligence and will provide the PA and Hamas with Hizballah-style capabilities.
THE TERROR THREAT - TAIL, OR HEAD, WIND?
Dahlan: "The disengagement constitutes a key achievement of the Intifadah" (February 22, 2004).
Muhammed Dief: "The disengagement signifies the beginning of the end of Israel" (March, 2004).
Hamas: The disengagement will lead to the return of the 1948 refugees. It will bring an end to the occupation of the entire Palestinian land [including Jerusalem, Galilee, Negev, Haifa and Jaffa]" (August 15, 2004).
EGYPT'S ROLE - IMPAIRING OR IMPROVING SECURITY?
Fact: Egyptian hostility, as revealed during the Oct. 2004 Taba Massacre, attests to Cairo's attitude toward Israel and toward Islamic terrorism.
Fact: Egypt's education system features anti-Jewish hate-education, and its school books are used by the hate-mongering Palestinian Authority. Egypt is has poisoned Israel's relations with the UN, Africa and Persian Gulf States.
Fact: Egypt considers Palestinian terrorism a cost-effective means to erode Israel's tenacity, and has facilitated the smuggling of weaponry, ammunition, missiles and explosives to Gaza. Poverty-stricken Cairo has launched a military procurement campaign, designed to become a potent threat to Israel.
DISENGAGEMENT - ECONOMIC BURDEN OR ASSET?
Fact: The US would not finance the disengagement.
Fact: Uprooting Jewish communities in northern Samaria would require a multi-billion Shekel investment, in order to develop alternative water resources (Israel's Water Commissioner, "Globes", September 27, 2004). Exploiting the Samaria Aquifer, by the PA, would increase salination, would destroy the agriculture and would dismantle the Jewish communities of Israel's northern valleys. The resulting need for desalination facilities would deepen Israel's dependency upon importation of expensive energy and would exacerbate security risks.
Fact: The intensified missile and terror threats would require more large scale costly military operations in Gaza and northern Samaria, would drive away tourists and airliners, would escalate reparation to victims of terror and missiles, would freeze infrastructure projects, would decrease human services budget, would aggravate unemployment and would raise taxes.
Fact: Disengagement resembles a bottomless keg, financially, militarily and politically ("Globes, Oct. 11, 2004).